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IMF forecasts 88.9% growth in Suez Canal revenues in FY2029/2030

This optimistic outlook comes despite the ongoing geopolitical challenges in the region, particularly in the Red Sea.

By: Business Today Staff

Mon, Jul. 21, 2025

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected that the Suez Canal’s revenues will increase by 88.9%, rising from an expected $6.3 billion in FY2025/2026 to $11.9 billion by FY2029/2030, according to a report released by the Egyptian Cabinet’s Media Center.

 The growth trajectory is expected to be steady, with revenues climbing to $8.2 billion in FY2026/2027, $9.9 billion in FY2027/2028, and reaching $11.5 billion in FY2028/2029.

This optimistic outlook comes despite the ongoing geopolitical challenges in the region, particularly in the Red Sea.

 Offshore Energy reported that Suez Canal operations have remained uninterrupted, even amid regional tensions.

 In fact, the canal has taken proactive steps to diversify its services, introducing previously unavailable maritime solutions such as marine rescue, water ambulance services, pollution control, ship maintenance and repair, and fuel supply.

 These enhancements not only expand the canal’s service portfolio but also reinforce its strategic value as a global maritime hub.

Credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s expects a gradual return to normal shipping traffic through the canal in the coming months, further supporting revenue recovery.

Fitch Solutions also highlighted the positive impact of the recent canal expansion, which became operational in the first quarter of 2025.

This upgrade has increased the daily vessel capacity by an additional six to eight ships and enhanced the canal’s preparedness for emergency situations. As a result, the current fiscal year is expected to witness a rebound in maritime traffic.

In parallel, Lloyd’s List revealed that several major global shipping companies have started rerouting their fleets through the Red Sea, encouraged by improved security developments.

 The Suez Canal Authority is actively supporting this shift by offering financial incentives and other benefits to encourage a full return to canal transits.

Since the start of 2025, the Suez Canal has reported a series of notable operational achievements. In February, it facilitated the non-conventional towing of the ADMARINE260 rig and the first post-hiatus voyage of the oil tanker CHRYSALIS since July 2024.

The car carrier AICC HUANGHU also passed through the canal for the first time, transporting 4,202 vehicles. In March, the oil tanker SOUNION was successfully towed by four canal-operated tugboats.

June saw the transit of the massive container ship CMA CGM JULES VERNE and the swift recovery of the grounded diving vessel RED ZED1 in just 60 minutes, with no reported damage. In July, one of the world’s largest car carriers, BYD XI’AN, completed its maiden voyage through the canal.

These developments reflect the canal’s strategic adaptability, operational efficiency, and vital role in global trade—solidifying its place as a key revenue generator for Egypt’s economy in the years to come.